Construction Job Openings Decrease in June

Due to slowing home construction and elevated interest rates, the count of open construction sector jobs shifted lower in June, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). The number of open construction sector jobs shifted notably lower from 366,000 in May to 295,000 in June. The construction job openings rate fell to 3.5% in June, the lowest rate since March 2023.

However, this shift is consistent with a somewhat cooler labor market, which is a positive sign for future inflation readings and the interest rate outlook.

In June, after revisions, the number of open jobs for the overall economy decreased slightly from 8.23 million in May to 8.18 million. This is also smaller than the 9.13 million estimate reported a year ago. 

NAHB analysis indicates that this number must fall below 8 million on a sustained basis for the Federal Reserve to feel more comfortable about labor market conditions and their potential impacts on inflation. With estimates near 8 million now, this suggests rate cuts lie in the months ahead if current trends hold.

NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz provides more details in this Eye on Housing post.