Home Price Gains Continue to Slow
Home price growth continues to decelerate, according to the recent release of the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (HPI). The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller HPI increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.89% for June 2024, slowing from a revised rate of 3.28% in May.
Home prices have not seen an outright decrease since January 2023. However, 1.89% is the smallest growth in prices since February 2023. Additionally, the growth rate has shown a generally declining trend since a peak of 9.76% in August 2023.
Meanwhile, the Home Price Index released by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) recorded a decline in home prices for June. The index declined at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of -1.04% for June, decreasing from a revised 0.51% rate in May. The FHFA Index has experienced just one other decrease since August 2022 — a decline of -1.03% in January 2024.
Home prices experienced a fourth year-over-year deceleration in June, tabulated by both indexes. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller HPI (not seasonally adjusted – NSA) posted a 5.42% annual gain in June, down from a 5.94% increase in May.
Since June 2023, the index has seen steady increases in the year-over-year growth rate. However, this growth rate began slowing in March 2024 and has continued to decelerate through June. Meanwhile, the FHFA HPI (NSA) index rose 5.23%, down from 5.95% in May. This rate has decelerated from 7.19% in February.
See how prices changed across 20 metro areas and the nine Census divisions in this Eye on Housing post.
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For the first time since 2022, the share of new homes with two-story foyers increased, according to the Census Bureau's Survey of Construction (SOC). Despite the increase, the market share of two-story foyers has generally trended downward since 2017, with most new single-family homes being built without a two-story foyer both nationally and regionally.
Mortgage rates rose sharply in September as multiple factors applied significant upward pressure on U.S. treasury bond yields, a key factor in mortgage rates.
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Mortgage application activity declined as the 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose sharply. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, decreased 7.7% month-over-month in September on a seasonally adjusted basis. Compared to a year ago, total mortgage applications were lower by 35.4%.
Mortgage rates rose sharply in September as multiple factors applied significant upward pressure on the U.S. treasury yields. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.86% in September, up nearly 20 basis points (bps) from August.
In 2025, around a quarter of new homes were built with a two-story foyer, slightly up from 2024, according to data obtained from the Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction (SOC) and tabulated by NAHB.