Home Price Gains Continue to Slow
Home price growth continues to decelerate, according to the recent release of the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (HPI). The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller HPI increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.89% for June 2024, slowing from a revised rate of 3.28% in May.
Home prices have not seen an outright decrease since January 2023. However, 1.89% is the smallest growth in prices since February 2023. Additionally, the growth rate has shown a generally declining trend since a peak of 9.76% in August 2023.
Meanwhile, the Home Price Index released by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) recorded a decline in home prices for June. The index declined at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of -1.04% for June, decreasing from a revised 0.51% rate in May. The FHFA Index has experienced just one other decrease since August 2022 — a decline of -1.03% in January 2024.
Home prices experienced a fourth year-over-year deceleration in June, tabulated by both indexes. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller HPI (not seasonally adjusted – NSA) posted a 5.42% annual gain in June, down from a 5.94% increase in May.
Since June 2023, the index has seen steady increases in the year-over-year growth rate. However, this growth rate began slowing in March 2024 and has continued to decelerate through June. Meanwhile, the FHFA HPI (NSA) index rose 5.23%, down from 5.95% in May. This rate has decelerated from 7.19% in February.
See how prices changed across 20 metro areas and the nine Census divisions in this Eye on Housing post.
Latest from NAHBNow
Hone your management skills in an upcoming Nov. 12 live online course titled “Project Controls Fundamentals: Monitoring Scope, Cost and Time” from 1-4 p.m. ET.
A working paper from researchers at the University of Alabama concludes that when a jurisdiction adopts new residential building codes, it has no effect on the sales prices of homes. But a close technical review reveals that the study’s policy conclusions go well beyond what its analysis can establish.
Latest Economic News
The latest homeownership rate reached 65.5% in the third quarter of 2026, according to the Census’s Housing Vacancy Survey (HVS). While this was a modest quarterly decrease, the broader picture continues to reflect significant affordability challenges.
The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at a target range of 3.75% to 4% at the conclusion of its October policy meeting. Approved by a 10–2 vote, the decision followed September’s quarter-point increase. Federal Open Market Committee members Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack dissented, supporting another 25-basis-point increase for October.
High mortgage rates and economic uncertainty continued to keep potential home buyers on the sidelines and constrain new home sales in September. New home sales declined from August and remained below year-ago levels, with year-to-date sales also lagging for 2025.