Fed in No Rush to Cut Rates
In a widely anticipated announcement, the Federal Reserve paused on rate cuts at the conclusion of its January meeting, holding the federal funds rate in the 4.25% to 4.5% range. The Fed will continue to reduce its balance sheet, including holdings of mortgage-backed securities.
The Fed noted the economy remains solid, while specifying a data-dependent pause. Fed Chair Jerome Powell did qualify current policy as “meaningfully restrictive,” but the central bank appears to be in no hurry to enact additional rate cuts.
Given the ongoing, outsized impact that shelter inflation is having on overall inflation, an explicit mention to housing market conditions would have been useful. However, Powell did state in his press conference that housing market activity appears to have “stabilized.”
Although improving, shelter inflation is running at an elevated 4.6% annual growth rate, well above the Consumer Price Index (CPI). These housing costs are driven by continuing cost challenges for builders such as financing costs and regulatory burdens, and other factors on the demand-side of the market like rising insurance costs.
NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz offers more insights from the Fed's January meeting in this Eye On Housing article.
Additionally, the latest Macro Economic Outlook from NAHB provides further details about the pace of housing inflation, as well as a recap of 2024 economic conditions, a forecast for 2025 interest rates, and more. Watch the video below or visit the Macro Economic Outlook video library on nahb.org.
Latest from NAHBNow
Nov 10, 2026
Which Stage of Construction Takes the Most Time When Building a Single-Family Home?
According to the latest NAHB/Well Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) survey results, interior finishes (drywall, interior doors, painting, cabinets, countertops, plumbing fixtures, flooring, etc.) take an average of 6.4 weeks to complete, longer than any other major stage of single-family construction.
Advocacy
Nov 09, 2026
NAHB Mourns the Passing of Nicolas “Nick” P. Retsinas
Nicolas “Nick” P. Retsinas, a leader in local and national housing policy and advocacy, passed away last week at the age of 79.
Latest Economic News
Economics
Nov 10, 2026
Consumer Credit Growth Picks Up in the Third Quarter of 2026
Consumer credit growth accelerated in the third quarter of 2026, with both revolving and nonrevolving credit increasing at their fastest quarterly rates since 2022. Total outstanding consumer credit reached $5.22 trillion, continuing an upward trend that has strengthened over the past year.
Economics
Nov 10, 2026
Inflation Persists in October
Inflation remained elevated in October even as energy prices eased, raising expectations of another Fed rate hike. Shelter returned as the largest driver of headline inflation, accounting for over 30% of the monthly increase. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy components, rose by 0.3% for the third consecutive month, suggesting broad-based price pressures across the economy.
Economics
Nov 09, 2026
Residential Building Worker Wage Growth Rebounds, but Real Wages Continue to Decline
Wage growth for residential building workers showed signs of a modest rebound in September 2026 following a sharp slowdown earlier in the year. According to the latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, nominal wage growth picked up from its June pace, although it remained relatively modest.